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Italy - France    (won)

Olympics, quarterfinal. Didn't expect line to be this high, thought about 155-160pts, so that's value to me. Both teams had one game each going over this line, coincidently both overslept 1st qtr in these games and that turned those matches into overish ones. Later both had to catch up, defend more seriously and etc. I don't expect such things in this stage, it's do or die, no place for mistake and any such run of rival can end up in losing game. So defense must be top notch since very beginning, France has the edge here, they can close the paint with Gobert, can defend well in perimeter. Overall, they are physical team, one of the best defensive units in tournament. I think for Italy it will be extremely hard to attack as they lack inside presence and only shooting and penetrating might not be enough. This way I guess they'll stake more on defense too, it's naive to expect to beat France with offense alone. When they are up to challenge, they can defend quite good too, with Melli they are able to switch everything in defense. So overall, I think total is simply too high here, stakes are big, Olympic quarterfinal, one step away from medals, I guess less risks will be taken too, maybe a bit longer possessions with better shots selection. So I'm on under. GL ;)
Published: 01-08-2021, 22:02 CET Pick: Under 169,5
Odds: 1.9 at Betway


Category: International basketball
Date: 03-08-2021
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



EinKrona 03-08-2021, 15:17
All of quarterfinals hitting under. Gotta take advantage of those foolish odds makers :)

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