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Italy - Poland    (lost)

In this group beside Italy and Poland is also Serbian team. I was so wrong yesterday in the Serbia vs Poland match. Namely Serbia has lost again from the Polish team and again with 3-0. For Serbia one set was enough to qualify for semifinals without any doubt. But at the end it turned out that even 3-0 loss sent them to semis. Cause it was very tied 3-0 loss, 28:26, 28:26 and 25:22. Serbia was very convincing in 3:0 win over Italy so now there is chance to all three sides end with 3 pts and all three with 3-3 sets won/loss but when it comes to points, Serbia is either first either second best.
That being said, Italy and Poland are fight here for another semifinal visa from this group.
The situation is as follows:

Poland need at least one set or if they lose 3-0 then not to lose with too big pts difference.
Italy need 3-0 in sets but also they need 15 pts difference at least. This is going to be very difficult to achieve, 25-20 x 3, that's hard.
But I still stand behind what I said yesterday. Poland is not good enough. No matter they are the defending champion, this time they are not good enough.
With help from the stands (Italy is the host of this World Championship), I think Italy can take the job done here in term of straight sets victory. Whether they will win with 15+ pts, we are yet to see but I think they can win without losing sets. 
Published: 28-09-2018, 16:51 CET Pick: Italy -2.5 sets
Odds: 3 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: International volleyball
Date: 28-09-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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