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Italy vs Serbia    (won)

This game will finish the quarterfinals today and it should be another interesting thriller of basketball. Both teams are worth being where they are now, but both are playing different basketball.
Serbia are a good team of battlers. They are missing a few first-choice players this summer, but Djordjevic's guys' strength is team spirit and mental toughness. Bogdanovic is absolutely cracking a player, who can drag this team after himself during difficult moments, but for this game in particular Serbia's main weapon against Italy will be their center forwards Kuzmic and Marjanovic. Italy will try their best not to allow these two to get the ball in the low post, but Serbia are very smart as a team too, so I think they will still capitalise on their big fellows. Although the Italians are well organised defensively, I fully trust Serbia's offence this time.
Italy are a team of shooters. They attempt a lot of shots from long and distance range, because their don't have reliable scorers in the center forward position. Filloy, Belinelli, Datomi, and Aradori have already proven their shooting values in this Eurobasket campaign, and Hackett and Melli can always be dangerous too. Indeed, Melli is one of the weapons Italy have failed to use until now, but he can always be an X-factor player to them. He's a huge player. Italy will also need to be smart to get through Serbia's defence, but with Messina on the bench and the other quality players on the court they are certainly dangerous.
Going unders has been a massive call for this game, but I am again going the opposite way by taking overs.
Published: 13-09-2017, 17:44 CET Pick: Over 141.5
Odds: 1.85 at Pinnacle


Category: International basketball
Date: 13-09-2017
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 10)




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