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Jack Draper vs Alex Minaur    (lost)

British number one, Jack Draper is in his first Grand Slam quarter-final and would face Australian Alex de Minaur for a place in the last four. These two have met three times on the hard court, with the Australian winning all of them, however, in all the matches, both players won a set.


Draper:

Draper has reached the third round in his two previous participations in this hard court tournament, while he has achieved his most success in a Grand Slam in this tournament. Last year, he was stopped at the fourth round but has gone one step further this year, winning Zhizhen Zhang, Facundo Diaz Acosta, Botic Van de Zandschulp and in round four, Tomas Machac, and now occupies the 23rd spot in the live rankings.


Minaur:

Alex de Minaur is in his third consecutive Grand Slam quarter-final having participated in the competition four times, however, he is yet to win one. He ranks 10th in the live rankings and 7th in the Live ATP Race. He has a good chance of reaching the end-of-season Tour Finals. He’s recorded wins over Marcos Giron, Otto Virtanen, Daniel Evans and Jordan Thompson.


My Best Bet

I am settling for Over 3.5 sets to be seen in this fixture. Both players aim to reach their first-ever Grand Slam semi-final. Draper has won all his matches comfortably, while Minaur played a fourth set in all but one of his four matches. Also, all the previous matches between Minaur and Draper had both players winning a set, which makes this a solid bet. Meanwhile, in four of the last five games played by Draper against a top 20-ranked player, there were over 3.5 sets, while six of Minaur's eight matches saw both players win a set.
Published: 04-09-2024, 13:19 CET Pick: Over 3.5 Sets
Odds: 1.52 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 04-09-2024
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



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