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Jannik Sinner - Miomir Kecmanovic    (won)

ATP Next Gen Finals - Milan » hard court, indoors, semifinals
 
Sinner arrived to Milan with great season behind him after which he entered the Top 100. With good tennis he continued also here and once again proved his big talent by winning the group. He has lost the final third round of the group stage from Humbert but we can 'forgive' him that loss cause Sinner already qualified for SF, what more he was already safe as the group winner. 

Kecmanovic was solid too. His record in other group also was 2-1 with the only loss came in meeting with Alex De Minaur. Nothing bad about that cause De Minaur has arrived here as best player on paper out of 8 who competed in Milan, but not just on paper, De Minaur confirmed on the court that he is class above rest of the competition. Good for Kecmanovic was the fact he was able to take the set from De Minaur. The Serb was more than decent IMO. I know his 3rd round convincing win and very good tennis losses value a little bit given on fact Davidovich Fokina had injury from the second round. But, Kecmanovic was great also in his other victory, in the opening round 3-0 over Casper Ruud when he didn't allow any break points to his opponent. 
I believe Kecmanovic can put Sinner on serious test today no matter what the odds are suggesting. I feel this could be much closer to 50-50 match. Kecmanovic is definitely more experienced and with more matches on the 'big scene'. Two years difference is pretty big if we are talking about 18 and 20 y.o. opponents. 

IMO Over is the best choice for this match. I don't think any of the players could win this in straight. Also, this system (best of 5 and sets played till 4 games) seems like going in favor of Over bets. Maybe wasn't too much visible this time around with 50% success so far (6-6) but in previous two years since this competition going on, we have had 10-6 in 2018 and 11-4 in 2017 favour of Over. 
Published: 08-11-2019, 14:28 CET Pick: Over 22.5
Odds: 1.74 at 1xBet


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 08-11-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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