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Jeonbuk - Suwon Bluewings    (lost)

This bet is purely based on past results and numbers. Jeonbuk Motors had a really good showing versus Ulsan Hyundai last time around and that game ended with a 1-3 scoreline in favor of Jeonbuk. Their football quality seems to be good and this can be proved by standings - Jeonbuk is currently in third place with 28 points (8W-4D-4L) while Suwon Bluewings are only 10th with 18 points (4W-6D-6L).

My main idea for this game has to do with goals. Jeonbuk has the best defense in the league. In 16 games they have only conceded 12 goals (0.75 per game). At home, their conceded goals average increases to 1.0. Their overall goals per game stat (scored + conceded) is 1.9 while at home it's only 1.6. Out of 16 Jeonbuk Motors' games, only 3 of them ended with over 2.50 goals. That's 18.75%.

Suwon Bluewings is another team that has good "traditions" to go below the goal line this season. In 16 games they have averaged 1.8 goals overall (scored + conceded) while on road this number goes to 2 goals per game. Out of 16 games this season they went above 2.50 goals 4 times out of 16 → and that's only 25%.

Suwon Bluewings have scored the least amount of goals (12) in the league this season while Jeonbuk Motors have conceded the least (12). In all 7 games at home, this season Jeonbuk has never gone above the 2.50 goals line. The past 10 head-to-head games ended with 5 games over and 5 under in the last three years.


Published: 22-06-2022, 10:50 CET Pick: Under 2.50
Odds: 1.625 at Pinnacle


Category: South Korean football
Date: 22-06-2022
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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