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Johnson - Norrie    (lost)

Going for a surprise in this one. This is Norrie's worst surface and even if he admits it, the English press is expecting a lot from him in this tournament. He had big problems with Munar, who surprised me with his level in first two rounds. Norrie's flat backhand and his swingy serve work well on grass, but he usually has problems with forehand. Steve is an experienced grass court player, who has 2 ATP tournament wins on this surface. Normally I don't like to bet on him vs lefties as he practically doesn't have flat/spin backhand, but slice was working very well against leftie Peniston, so he should do ok vs Norrie as well, who has a similar game plan. Of course Norrie is a level higher but for me this odds are too high and I see this match much closer. They will play on CC and tomorrow will be a sunny day so a bit quicker conditions are expected. 
Published: 30-06-2022, 23:22 CET Pick: Johnson
Odds: 3.83 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 01-07-2022
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 3 (tipster's average: 4)



TopTen 01-07-2022, 06:17
I`m with you on this one bud. Didn`t bet for a long time, but planing to go back and this seems like a good match for it :)) Steve has suprisingly good stats vs lefties, considering he has no backhand and his useless slice is actually an asset on grass like you said. Norrie became so overrated after one good season, that this odd setting is hilarious. I also don`t trust Johnson for the reasons you mentioned, but again, since this is grass and seeing Cam struggling against Munar who doesn`t know how to walk on grass, give this very good value. P S. Johnson won 17 out of 20 last matches vs lefties.
TopTen 01-07-2022, 20:18
Jesus Christ, redneck decided not to come today. Well, that was a waste of money :D

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