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Jong Ajax - Roda    (won)

     Well Jong Ajax did not play that many over 3.5 goals games in the first part of the season as we were used to them playing in previous seasons here in this second league level in Holland but all 4 of the games played by them after the winter break ended with at least 4 goals scored in them, starting off with a 2-2 draw at home against Jong PSV, following with a 4-1 loss away at Waawijk, than they lost 3-1 at home to Volendam game in which they received a red card at 1-1 shortly after the break, and last round they drew 2-2 away at Dordrecht, so defense is really not that solid for them having conceded 11 goals in those 4 games played and with Roda fighting for promotion and coming for the win here they should be able to score at least 2 goals here.
     At the same time Roda has not been all that solid in defense after the winter break, they won 3-1 at home against Go Ahead Eagles, than they drew 2-2 away at Sparta Rotterdam, won at home 6-2 against Jong AZ while losing last round 2-1 at home to Almere City. So they themselves concede 7 goals in 4 games after the winter break, but also scored 12 goals, 19 goals total in their 4 games making it an average of nearly 5 goals scored per game played by Roda after the winter break.
      This while earlier this season Roda won 2-1 at home against Jong Ajax, but like I said above neither team was that high scoring back than, this while last season here at this stadium the game ended up in a high scoring 3-3 draw with Jong Ajax making it 3-0 by he 16 minute of the game but Roda made it 1-3 by half-time and scored two goals in the second half to push a draw out of that away game, so 6 goals scored back than and good enough reasons for me to be taking the over 3.5 goals scored in this one.
Published: 11-02-2019, 08:21 CET Pick: Over 3.5 goals
Odds: 2.07 at SBOBET


Category: Dutch football
Date: 11-02-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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