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Kevin Aguilar vs. Zubaira Tukhugov    (won)

Tukhugov is a world class chain wrestler. He's relentless with his pressure and marching forward all the time. I was never really high on Aguilar to be honest. I faded him against Ige and it was the right decision. I have to fade him again because i think the matchup is even worse for him than Ige. I read a lot of people writing Aguilar has a very good TDD. I do not agree with that. Both Ige and Barzola were shooting really high for those TDs, Aguilar stuffed the TD attempts and both Ige and Barzola weren't committing to a level change after that. And obviously Tukhugov is a different level. Thing is, if Tukhugov gets the TD, the round is most likely over because Aguilar is horrendous off his back. Tukhugov was slowing down a bit against Murphy in his last fight but the fight was in Abu Dhabi and he had a staph infection. So i wouldn't overreact to him gassing after R1. I think he might slow down again, but not as bad as against Murphy and despite being tired he's still comfortable on the ground. I love the matchup for Tukhugov here, i got better odds (+110) than the current lines but i think the price still holds a lot of value.
Published: 21-02-2020, 09:53 CET Pick: Zubaira Tukhugov ML
Odds: 1.95 at 5Dimes


Category: MMA
Date: 22-02-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 4)




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