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Khimki Moscow vs Zalgiris Kaunas    (lost)

Khimki and Zalgiris are both defensive teams, but I like the idea of taking overs on the total nonetheless.
Khimki were one of the most underish Euroleague sides with Greek head coach Bartzokas in charge. Their offence was based on a few key players Shved and Gill being the main leaders on attack. When those two got injured and fell out for a long time, Khimki started facing offensive troubles but defence was always something they could trust. Without Gill and Shved, they were playing sluggish tactical basketball but that basketball was effective as it could be without two missing leaders. All Khimki neded to do is to wait until Shved and Gill are back, because they have a really competitive roster overall. They didn't want to wait, thought, and Bartzokas was replaced with Lithuanian head coach Kurtinaitis, who has spent many seasons in Khimki in the past. I have to say I didn't expect such a stupid manoeuvre from the Khimki management, but Russia is not to be understood with sane mind. Kurtinaitis is much worse a coach than Bartzokas, but he's very much liked in Russia due to his vivid personality, charisma and old relations. With him in charge Khimki have started playing much faster on offence, which is normal as Kurtinaitis is an extremely offence-oriented coach. I am sure Khimki will now improve their scoring numbers even without Shved and Gill, but you can forget Khimki's excellent defence they have with Bartzokas at the helm.
Zalgiris have been hit by injuries and it's disbalanced them. They are still a team with good chemistry and smart coaching, but some missings and crippled self-esteem have done much harm on Zalgiris over the recent weeks. While defence has remained solid, offence has been looking tragic at times. However, they are working on improving offensively, the greem boys from Kaunas, and I am sure positive results will come soon. Zalgiris need wins just as badly as Khimki to get to the playoffs, so they will try to avenge the Russian side a single point loss in Kaunas. I believe Zalgiris will be attacking better this evening.
Neither Khimki nor Zalgiris have been offensive teams for years, but their most recent head-to-head clashes have been richer in points than one could dare to expect. Adding to the mix the information provided above, I believe going Over 151 is not the worst call ever made by me.
Published: 31-01-2019, 15:48 CET Pick: Over 151.5
Odds: 1.9 at Betway

Category: European basketball
Date: 31-01-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)

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