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Kiel - Sandhausen    (lost)

Tough times for Kiel at the moment, they lost 5-0 at Dortmund in the semis of german cup and now have to play 5 games in 12 days, which is ridiculous. What they showed in the 3 games since quarantine was far from impressive, they were not even the better team against Osna and probably should have lost against Nürnberg. Now they will face a Sandhausen team, which is looking like the team that finished sixth? last year. They won the xG battle in their last 3 games against Hamburg, Hannover and Fürth. I stil think the win over Hannover was pretty lucky as they profited from errors 3 for their first 3 games but ok. Since Kleppinger took over they actually look like an above average team with around +0.3 non penalty xG per game. I also like the under a bit, but looking at Sandhausens last games, its probably not a great idea. What i will play for sure is Sandhausen to win for  a decent 4.4. Fair line for Kiel win is well above 2 for me here. 
Published: 04-05-2021, 10:07 CET Pick: Sandhausen+0.75
Odds: 1.847 at Pinnacle


Category: German football
Date: 04-05-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 5 (tipster's average: 5)




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