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Krasnodar vs Standard    (half-won)

FK Krasnodar vs Standard Liege is the match of the 4`th round of the Europa League, group J. Both teams are on 6 points from 3 matches and Sevilla has the same but the overwhelming goal difference in their favor. So Krasnodar is just ahead of Standard on goal difference and by the performance the last time around they will feel they have Standard`s number. In round 3 the teams met on Standards ground and the visitors were better. Krasnodar had about 20 shots on goals and more on the frame. After taking the lead in first-half the got a bit too relaxed and Standard got the jump on them early in second half and scored a goal. It was a level game until the end when Krasnodar conceded a very unlucky stoppage-time goal. They should have taken something from that.

The teams rely on their home performance a lot and Standard especially. Standard has won both of their home matches while Krasnodar won over Akhirsaspor away and most notably Sevilla at home. It was a 2:1 win and quite deserved one. Krasnodar had more shots on goal and even if Sevilla rested a few of their key players they had a strong lineup. To win against such a force in the Europa League is a huge result.

Krasnodar has good results on this ground in Europa winning 4 of the last 5 with Celta last beating them 0:2 in 2017.

Krasnodar is the third team in the Rusian league with just a point behind the second-placed Lokomotiv but already a lot behind Zenit. Interestingly they have been more convincing on the road in the league taking two losses at home already.

Standard is not playing so good lately and lost the ground in the domestic league. They are 7`th with 20 points and 14 behind Genk. Goals don`t come easy for Standard and it had been a worry all season long. They don`t create enough chances which was especially noticed lately. They took 2 big hits lately losing away to the worst team in the league Waregem with 3:1 and then at home to Antwerp 0:2. This was their first league home loss. Standard scored 2 goals in their last 4 league matches but conceded 6. Could be some crisis going on here. Standard lost 8 of their last 11 away Europa League matches.

With all things put together, Krasnodar definitely looks good for a couple of goals. Home win with some goals to spare.

Mammaev(mid-.10-3) is out for Krasnodar while M`Poku(mid-.10-2) is out for Standard.

Published: 07-11-2018, 23:00 CET Pick: Krasnodar -0.75 AH
Odds: 1.79 at Pinnacle


Category: International football
Date: 08-11-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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