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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
| 164 | 871 | -15.7 |
| YIELD | AVG ✓ ODDS | AVG ✗ ODDS |
| -2% | 2 | 2.01 |
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This odds price is simply a notch too high. The market is around 1.55, and when this bookmaker comes out with 1.65 while the analysis also supports the bet, it’s worth taking. The analysis sees value down to 1.58.
Brann are a very “all gas, no brakes” type of team that give away plenty of chances. Both teams have scored in 8 of their last 10 matches, and they carry xG numbers of 1.67 for and 1.49 against. As we saw against Glimt, they are extremely dangerous going forward, but they also allow a lot defensively. They have lost several defensive players, and perhaps most importantly, their midfield lacks defensive balance. They miss a player like Sivert Heltne Nilsen.
KFUM have had a poor start to the season, but apart from the match against Viking — where they received a red card — they have shown that they can create chances against anyone. xG figures of 1.48 away to Vålerenga and 1.65 created away to Glimt are very strong numbers — in fact, higher than what even some of Europe’s top teams managed to produce against Glimt.
Early valuebet
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