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Krejcikova V.S. Martincova    (won)

The WTA circuit picks back up again as one of the last stops on this short pathetic year's tour winds down.  Ostrava is on of the few WTA  indoor hard court tournament.  The three headlining names are Svitolina, Pliskova (home court) and Azerenka.  After a weekend of qualies, starting at the round of 16, it will progress 5 rounds to a champion.

Like all opening round matches in the WTA picks can be the most challenging and value happens to present itself the most due to the fact there is so little data.  Usually Favorites to Dogs run 60%-40% in most round of 16's.  Looking the today's opening matches I am going to make the move on a match where there are two countrywomen pitted against eachother on their home turf.  

Krejcikova enters the match coming off of a convincing victory against lower ranked Teichmann, while Martincova enters after a solid performance against Badosa, also a lower ranked player.  Additionally, it should be noted that Badosa enjoyed a successful French Open and has performed well since the restart, while Teichmann has a great restart but has been out of form since late August.  In the H2H between these 2 countrywomen, Martincova leads 2-0.  But that was 4 years ago and on the same surface they'll be playing today.  

Martincova opened as the favorite (though higher ranked) but has since taken a major dip in the market (from a 52% probable victor, to a 40%).  Reason being her admittance to exhaustion and potential injury.  However, this match is a relatively even affair.  Krejcikova has the slight edge coming in due to her amount of court time being less and her superior record since the restart: 25-8 to 16-10 (including a monster 13 match in streak - granted the wins were against very poor competition, but she did take a set off of Halep).  

Starling says: This is a difficult match to gauge, three sets is a likely scenario, but I am trusting the market on this one and buying the hype.  Krejcikova on the Moneyline.
Published: 19-10-2020, 10:14 CET Pick: Krejcikova - ML
Odds: 1.67 at 5Dimes


Category: WTA tennis
Date: 19-10-2020
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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