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Lamia-Panetolikos    (lost)

Last match of the 6th day of the Greek Superleague
Lamia (11th, 0-3-2) finished last season comfortably and was indeed a hard team to put down. This season they still haven't managed to win a match though. They lost away against Olympiakos and AEK, two of the title contenders, and drew at home against Atromitos, Panathinaikos and Panionios. All of the team they drew against are either bad (Panionios) or underperforming (Panathinaikos and Atromitos) and I think they should have done better. They have only scored at home and they struggle to create many chances. The match today is a "do-or-die" for them because if the team will stay clear of relegation they have to win against teams that have the same expectations, such as Panetolikos. I expect them to try to control the game and attack early in the match.
Panetolikos (13th, 0-0-5) has had a difficult schedule early in the season, playing against strong teams (teams that occupy places 2-5 currently in the league). Last round they failed to score against Atromitos so naturally they lost 2-0 to them. The team tries to create chances and play the control game but with little effect so far. 5 straight defeats at the start of the championship makes me believe that they will approach the game with attacking philosophy. Their today opponents are not "out of their league" and the pressure for a positive result will be high. Both of their starting central defenders are out and the press here says that their defensive midfielder will fill a spot in defence. Starter Goalkeeper is also out but he wasn't that much in-form anyway.
I expect a match with both teams will try to actually play some football, both are motivated to win and both feel they can win. Also both can't defend very effectively. Hosts are slight favorites today in my opinion, Over 2.5 goals is also acceptable but I will go with BTS for this one.
Published: 07-10-2019, 15:57 CET Pick: Yes
Odds: 2.1 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Greek football
Date: 07-10-2019
Option: Both To Score
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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