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Las Vegas Aces - Connecticut Sun    (won)


Game 5, series tied at 2-2

Tonight's game will give the answer who is going to the great WNBA finals where Seattle Storm girls are already waiting after comfortable 3-0 series win over Minnesota Lynx. IMO chances are more or less equal, so I'll gladly take the points on the underdog.

Connecticut didn't look too impressive during the regular season and they were set as much bigger underdogs early in this series than they are now. But so far four games proved we have very different Connecticut Sun team now. They obviously raised the form and are playing much better. In G1 as well G3, Connecticut Sun completely shut down the Las Vegas offense. Overall, Connecticut was much more convincing in its two victories than Las Vegas was in its two wins. So, it's 2-2 but Connecticut is +17 in points differential. 
Las Vegas also never was up in the series but always had to chase Connecticut lead. IMO the main difference is the 3-point % in which Vegas was terrible in this series. They have won the G4 last time but again confirmed its 3-point shooting struggles with going 1/9. 
Vegas also is with weakened roster cause one of main contributors from the bench, Dearica Hamby is done for rest of the season. She was the WNBA's Sixth Woman of the Year for two straight seasons. 
On the other side Connecticut is not without problems either. One of their best players, Alyssa Thomas has shoulder injury but she continues to play great despite that and last time has scored even 25 pts.
I must trust to the team who IMO has showed more in the playoffs and who do not forget about that, was in WNBA finals also season ago.
Of course there isn't home advantage here for Las Vegas cause these games are on neutral court. 
Published: 29-09-2020, 22:01 CET Pick: Connecticut +4.5
Odds: 1.82 at Pinnacle


Category: WNBA basketball
Date: 29-09-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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