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Lech Poznań - Sandecja Nowy Sącz    (lost)

Normally I would go for some handicap for Lech, because on paper it is much better team than Sandecja which was promoted to Ekstraklasa last season. However, based on match yesterday where Legia lost 3:1 against Górnik Zabrze I have to be more pragmatic.

Lech have build completly new team - they transferred or took for loan 10 or even more players. As they had lost battle for championship - they are trying again this year. I think that coach Bjelica will try to rotate the squad because Lech lost 2:3 a match against Haugesund in UEFA Europa League qualification first leg and they need to rest some key players. On the other hand, the change in Ekstraklasa means that after 30 rounds in regular season points are not divided by 2 like it was last years so it is needed to collect points from the beginning. As Legia (their key opponents) lost against Górnik Zabrze - they also need to focus on scoring today. Their defensive line made so many easy mistakes with Haugesund so I think it is a good perspective to score by Sandecja.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz will try to make a surprise like Górnik Zabrze did yesterday. I think that morale in the team is even higher now becuase they will try to use the fact of UEFA EL qualification troubles for Lech. They was promoted from lower division and I think the main target is to stay in Ekstraklasa for a next year. They contracted some known players like Tomasz Brzyski, Mateusz Cetnarski (both Cracovia), Alexandyr Kolev (Stal Mielec), Patrik Mraz (Piast Gliwice), Jonathan Straus (Jagielona Białystok) and made such a good results in the pre-eliminary friendly matches: 3:3 against APOEL, 2:0 against Arka Gdynia and 2:3 against Lechia Gdańsk.

Again: Lech is a favourite and all is in their heads but Sandecja will try to score at least once. This time I am going for over 2.5 with nice odds.
Published: 16-07-2017, 16:58 CET Pick: over 2.5
Odds: 1.97 at Pinnacle


Category: Polish football
Date: 16-07-2017
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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