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Lee vs Dos Anjos    (lost)

UFC main event, welterweight fight

                   Dos Anjos        /          Lee

Kevin Lee moves up to welterweight after his loss against Iaquinta, it was a tough loss for him to be honest because if he won that fight he would have most probably fight against Poirier for the interim lightweight title and would probably didn't went up in weight. But he lost a close decision, I had it 3 rounds to 2 for Iaquinta

Lee had the fight in his hands, he had all the tools to win this fight but somehow he managed to lost his focus in the later rounds and that cost him the fight, he was doing pretty good on the feet mixing punches and kicks and even took down Iaquinta in round 2 and 3 but round 4 and 5 he was fading away, less focus more tired and Iaquinta did the right fight to win it

To be honest I think Kevin Lee is a wasted talent, he entered the UFC very young and he is still young he has only 26, but he lost very important fights that he shouldn't have lost and when you lose fight that are really important in your career, your career can take an other turn. I believe the fight against Ferguson for the interim title, this fight he lost by triangle while being on top, these type of mistake especially for a fight for a belt should not happen if you really want to be an elite fighter and recently against Iaquinta where he got tired and lost his focus in round 4-5 which cost him the fight

So to be honest I was hesitant to bet on Kevin Lee, very hesitant, because I know that he tends to lose his focus in the later rounds and get tired, except from the Barboza fight where he did a really really good performance and finally he did what he was supposed to do and used his main strength to win the fight. But after against Iaquinta somehow he decided that he was a kickboxing fighter, so he just went there and exchanging for the whole fight on the feet, just went for a few takedowns early on the fight then completely gave up on his wrestling

And these types of mistakes can not be allowed when you fight top 10 fighters and especially not in a 5 rounds fight. But I still believe in him, I may be dumb on this one but I still believe that he has something to offer and that in this weight class he may be even better than before and will want to avenge his loss against Iaquinta. But Dos Anjos is clearly not an easy fight.

Dos Anjos can box, has decent takedown defense, not very good but still decent, and is very dangerous on his back. The problem is that Dos anjos is not doing good against pressure fighters and wrestlers, we seen that before in Usman recently, Covington or Khabib a few years ago, he don't like when he is pressured and put against the cage. Because when is against the cage most of the time he get taken down when he faces high level wrestlers. 

Now the problem with that bet is I am not sur that Kevin Lee will look for the takedowns over and over, even though I know that he has the abilities to take him down I am just not sure that he will try it at every single rounds like did Usman or Covington. The fact that Lee likes to exchange on the feet and sometimes forget about his wrestling is making me a little bit doubtful regarding his win here, because it's a new weight class for him and you can't really know how his body and mind will really feel, you can guess but you can't really know, and because I dont know if Lee will really use his wrestling or not, because in the Barboza fight he used it most probably because he k'ew that it was the right gameplan against Barboza but against Iaquinta he just decided to exchange with him on the feet the majority of the fight

And when it comes to just striking, for me it's close they have about the same level of striking even though Kevin Lee use little more his range for me it's still qbout the same so that's why I hesitated going with Lee or just pass it, but overall I think Lee should be motivated here against a good Dos Anjos but the Dos Anjos that I've seen recently is far from the one that were the UFC champion to be honest. If Lee fights smart he should take it, most likely in the later rounds or decision because I dont think Lee can finish Dos Anjos in the first 3 rounds
Published: 15-05-2019, 03:23 CET Pick: Lee wins in round 4-5 or decision
Odds: 2.7 at 1xBet

Category: MMA
Date: 18-05-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)

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