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Leipzig - Basaksehir    (void)

Leipzig has been producing 7-8 corners in the last 4 out of 5 domestic league matches. This statistically is not very reassuring. HOWEVER, from experience, I know that it's much more important to understand how much the opponent concedes than the actual production rate of a team.

Basaksehir almost NEVER allows such high numer of corners at their end. Thus, even if Leipzig does take 7-8 corners it will be a serious statistical outlier. Even teams like Roma, Sporting and Copenhagen averaged some 5 corners against the Turks.

The Turkis team is obviously very conservative in corners and I think will keep Leipzig out of the corner. The line is very high due to Leipzig and thus I think there is value in this attempt.
Published: 20-10-2020, 18:02 CET Pick: Under 9.5 corners
Odds: 2 at Pinnacle


Category: European football
Date: 20-10-2020
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



FollowME 20-10-2020, 21:01
That`s a pity - it`s not like I`ve been posting 100 corner previews. I`ve noticed a market gap of the corner lines and something that is completely in favor of Basaksehir.
Domac 20-10-2020, 21:35
Ok but it has already happened more than once or twice to post picks that are not within the options and still got accepted. E.g. https://www.betrush.com/pick,Russia___Italy,168851.html
FollowME 20-10-2020, 21:54
It happened 3-4 times you are right and I remember one time it was lost, all the rest it was won. The Power Play for Russia was BRILLIANT value and I happened to spot the market because odds were not right. Just like right now... I was looking for market gaps and this corners line was crazy! However, fish people would be tempted to play corners because Leipzig had a lot as I mentioned in the preview but Basakshir is a gold mine to not allow too many. Result? At half time, there are only 2 corners right now and to make it funnier, one was giftet. I cannot care less whether it`s voided or not, what I am just glad is that I posted it 3-4 hours before kick-off and people managed to follow. Back then, when there was a prizepool, I can agree to void such markets, but now especially when a line is not properly set by the bookie, I don`t see the point of that. Anyhow - I will keep such market opportunities for me next time ;)
Domac 20-10-2020, 22:13
You have a point but if rules don`t get applied in some moment there is no point to have rules at all. Next it will be a total anarchy on the site.
FollowME 20-10-2020, 22:46
I know why you don`t like such markets - as it remains more of a gamble compared to other markets :) Reality is that people betting on this market are losers in the long-term as the lines are set strictly by stats. However, stats in some match-ups are bullshit, just as in this match. But you cannot hide that I spotted a big bet in this market with odds of 2.00 & without too much sweat :)

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