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| PICKS | STAKES | PROFIT |
| 1627 | 14322 | +262.2 |
| YIELD | AVG ✓ ODDS | AVG ✗ ODDS |
| +2% | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| Full stats / Picks archive | ||
Liaoning have recently suffered four straight defeats, and head coach Li Jinyu has become the first manager to be dismissed in the Chinese Super League this season. A coaching change often resets the dressing room atmosphere, and players usually become more eager to prove themselves. With rumors suggesting that former Chengdu Rongcheng coach Seo Jung-won is close to taking over, Liaoning’s players should have extra motivation to make a strong impression before the new manager arrives.
The club also appears to be treating this match seriously. Facing the league leaders, Liaoning have reportedly offered a generous bonus to boost morale, which should give the players every reason to fight hard at home. In terms of squad news, Brazilian foreign player Rafinha is suspended, but his performances this season have not fully matched his status as the club’s most valuable player. His absence may not necessarily be a major blow and could even allow Liaoning to play in a more balanced and disciplined way.
Chengdu Rongcheng have been outstanding offensively this season, scoring 26 goals in 9 rounds, nearly 3 goals per game. Their attacking firepower is clearly among the best in the league. However, they are not without problems. Key midfielder Rômulo Jussa is doubtful for this match, and if he cannot play, Chengdu’s midfield protection, physicality, and ball-winning ability could be weakened. With the coaching change effect, bonus motivation, and home advantage, Liaoning have reasons to show stronger resistance. Even if Chengdu create attacking pressure, Liaoning may not be easily blown away.
Pick: Liaoning Tieren +1.25