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Lietkabelis-Virtus    (won)

Lietkabelis changed a lot before this season . They lost some main players like Sakic , Dimša, Sajus , they took new players , Vinales , Masiulis , Barnes , Maric , Venckus. For me Lietkabelis are weaker team then last year . Masiulis are weaker then Sakic , he can't play one on one , it is visible then oponents are changing in defence , and Masiulis are playing against smaller oponent he cant score . his substitution is Venckus, who played in lower league , and he is very young , and he isn't so good physical , Vinales had very good statistic in vtb league , and he isn't of he is shooting pg, and his form was very bad in the start of season . But worst addition is Maric , I don't know why he was taken , when his statistic on Oostende was 2 points average and he can't change in defence , his legs is very slow and he can't take rebounds . So , almost all players are worse then last year , maybe Vinales ate not so bad . About start season , Lietkabelis started with 2 looses , both were unexpected , they lost against Cbet at home and against Nevezis . Team defence was bad in both matches , coach Canak has special defence system , all players are changing in every position , and for this system needs a lot of help in defence , but there wasn't any help in both matches , rebounding were awful , and oponents won rebounds,  and  were scoring easily . But everything changed against Zalgiris , team were fantastic in defence , a lot of help , and zalgiris scored only 66 points. Some question about offence , I didint like offence at all , Vinales were bad in first 2 matches , he played better against Zalgiris , but I couldn't say that all team were good in offence in all 3 matches , team relied only on Vinales 2x2 but if he will be stopped team will have big problems in offence . 
So in conclusion, Lietkabelis won against Zalgiris , but for me Lietkabelis were not so good in offence , zalgiris played really bad , without any energy , and Lietkabelis used it . Lietkabelis really a lot on Vinales 2x2 , and with Virtus good defenders I think he will be stopped and will be big problems for Lithuanian team . Defence were really good against Zalgiris but for me Virtus are playing better now then Zalgiris and they have more weapons in offence and they had Teo. 
Virtus kept almost all main players , took couple very good players , they are really atheltic team , are playing fast basketball which isn't good for Lietkabelis and has Teo , who are main Pg . Team played good in friendlies and supercup there lost only after good fight against Armani . 
All experts says that if Lietkabelis wants to be in next round , they must win against Belgian team both matches , against Andorra both matches and maybe against Monaco at home , so this match isn't so important .
Last year Lietkabelis managed to get into next cl group , bit they heavily lost against top group teams even at home , so I think they will loose against Virtus and Krasnodar without any chances . Virtus are athletic team ,with a lot of American players , and these type teams aren't good for Lietkabelis , because they don't have players who can stop strong oponents , Virtus are better team and I think they will win easily . Lietkabelis are hyped after win against Zalgiris , but zalgiris are playing really bad. 
Published: 29-09-2020, 22:37 CET Pick: Virtus -6.5
Odds: 1.9 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: European basketball
Date: 30-09-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



Mindozas 29-09-2020, 22:54
Teo won`t play, mate. He got injured on weekend. Was waiting all day long for odds on Virtus to rise cause of that, but no reaction from bookies. Bastards :)
betass 29-09-2020, 23:13
I saw that he is injuried but I thought that he will play , but for me even without Teo virtus are better team , Markovic will play for teo.
Mindozas 29-09-2020, 23:38
No doubt they are better. Without Teo offense will be less dangerous, but rebounding, physicality, individual level is on Virtus side and by a lot. Gamble, Hunter, Alibegovic in the paint... there`s simply no one to match these guys. Lietkabelis must have some hell of the shooting night to stay in the game, but they has no stable shooters and I`d never trust some streaky guys like Valinskas or Vinales on that. I just hope bookies will be more generous tomorrow and I`ll wake up to see odds higher on Virtus, my wet dream heh :)
betass 30-09-2020, 09:10
Mindozas odds are going down to virtus , so you don`t get anything better then now ????
Mindozas 30-09-2020, 09:50
yeah, I thought so too, Teo`s absence should have been noted already, but no line movement what so ever, so I didn`t wait - took Virtus ML in the morning
psyhz 30-09-2020, 19:45
17:3 in 3rd quarter, wow. Thanks for the pick.

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