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Ludogorets - Vereya    (lost)

This week I see some value in punching bags so I decided to give back to the sports betting community (or dig my hole deeper on this site :) ). My pick is based on 2 things - the upswing in in Ludogorets' performances and the fact that Vereya are in total knockdown.

Ludogorets are preparing for the clash against Leverskusen in the EL next Thursday after the national team's pause. They brought in Brandao (it is said that they beat Santos to sign him which can be an image trick) and Mahlangu as DF MID who is an experienced player. They are supposed to strenghten the depth of the team, expected to bring more competition as well. All of the new players would like to participate in the EL as primary goal so whoever plays I expect much pain for all those punching bags like Vereya, Ludogorets sold many players after good performances in the Europe competitions. With Brandao I expect better performances from Keseru and Swierczok as well, so I'm not worried who starts today. It is expected that Mahlangu will make his debut and Swierczok starts up front. Autuori started slow with low margin victories but past matches things changes and it seems that up front they got more clinical, changes in the squad and internal competition will help.

Vereya is in crisis and their headcoach Lekic is not allowed to the training sessions, his assistant will be on the bench. Vereya lost 9 consecutive visits, 4 of which with 3 or more goals difference. They lost with big margins against top teams like Ludogorets and CSKA, last year when team was in better shape they lost 0:3 at home and 0:5 as guests in Razgrad. 0:4 to CSKA recently as well. They are just the definition of punching bag, the only question is how much they will concede. With the intensity of Ludogorets' play and good wingers they will be torn apart early in my opinion.

With all the circumstances surrounding this game, the worst case scenario for me is this bet to be void at -3 Asian.

GL
Published: 14-09-2018, 08:57 CET Pick: 1 (-3 Asian)
Odds: 2.1 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Bulgarian football
Date: 14-09-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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