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Macedonia - Armenia    (won)

Two teams that are on the same level but I think Macedonia is the better side here.
Armenia despite having a player like Mkhitaryan their main problem is that in the line up of this country there are players who don't play at all or play very few games for their club teams. Otherwise maybe they would have more decent results.
For example Hambardzumyan played 25 games for Vardar in the last two seasons, Haroyan played only 21 minutes this season for Ural, I don't know if he was injured, but probably yes since he did play 20 games last season for the Russian  side, Yagan played only 6 games for Lierse last season, Malakyan played in very few games last season for Feniks Bucha (for Stal Kamianske), this season he didn't play 1 minute, rest of the played are decent like Calisir who plays for Goteborg, Ozbiliz finally found a club at which he can play (Willem Tilburg) despite in the last 4 seasons he played 21 games for 5 clubs, Pizzelli is a decent striker who can cause damage and of course their star, Mkhitaryan can decide such outcomes.

However Macedonia did well in the last WC campaign, drew in Italy, put up a great fight at home against Spain, also they had a team in the EL group stages last season (Vardar) plus Shkendija which played in the last 3 EL play-offs.
They have a striker in very good form, Trickovski from AEK Larnaca, scored 6 goals in this EL qualifiers. He makes a nice couple with Pandev up front, so it's ok to say that in offense Macedonia is the better side, Bardhi is a usual starter for Levante, same thing can be said about Trajkovski (Palermo),Spirovski(Ferencvaros),Alioski(Leeds),Musliu(Shkendija),Ristevski(Vasas) Nikolov has a nice run with MOL Vidi, Ristovski played only 8 games last season for Sporting, but this season in the first 4 games he played 90 minutes in all of them so it's ok to say that he is playing.

Macedonia has the better players and more important, the more in form players. Armenia is decent but I think they will suffer because of those players that don't play for their clubs.
Also it's safe to say that this is the final of this group, as Liechtenstein and Gibraltar are far from this two when it comes to players value. And since the winners of each group from the 4th league will play in the play-offs for a place at Euro 2020, Macedonia has a good chance to reach their first final tournament in their history. Their U21 team managed to qualify last year so things are going well for this country when it comes to football.
Published: 08-09-2018, 14:42 CET Pick: Macedonia -0.5
Odds: 2.03 at SBOBET


Category: European football
Date: 09-09-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



Eric_BGD 08-09-2018, 19:46
If we dont go to EURO now we are never gonna go...
Droc 09-09-2018, 19:24
I wish you guys the best of luck, on paper you have the best team from group D. Even if Luxembourg improved a lot they still can reach the level that your national team is at right now

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