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Man City-Watford    (won)

Thats really a high line and its a bit of a gambling but i see a few reasons why the dice should land on the side of this bet. First of ball the market saw all the City defensive issues with Laporte and Jones out and using Fernandinho as CD in Ukraine game in CL and we all went for it, except Shakhtar who were really poor and couldnt create a proper chance, but the thing was that Pep sounded the alarm and they were all very aware of their defensive game and they did a good job and kept a clean sheet and in reality they could have won more than 3-0 but it was game management as soon as they had 2-0 at HT. With Norwich all those defensive horrors were due to lack of concentration which didnt happen with Shakhtar. Obviously after a trip in Ukraine and welcoming the dead last in the table i wouldnt really expect high level of concentration, although they will rotate but i believe it should be better for the offense with Aguero and Silva's starting. The D is still shaky, it just a matter of how Watford will set up as they looked quite poor so far, but there were signs of improvement vs Arsenal with new spanish coach on bench, they were creating chance after chance in second half, but it was Arsenal, a team for which the term defending comes very allien esque. Also Deeney and Success might be back after injuries but i doubt they will start or be a factor here. City will definitely score a couple here, Watford has a lot of issues, but i doubt they will want points from City. Their record at top guns is pathetic, losing a lot so for City this should be a walk in the park and they can cover this line by themselves, as i can see them scoring 4. And like i said there is this casual approaching of City in PL, we saw at Bournemouth, we saw it with Spurs, and their defensive issues still remain, and Watford should be very relaxed in this game and treated as a holiday so chances for them scoring arent big but it will not surprise me, so im going for it.
Published: 20-09-2019, 23:34 CET Pick: over 4
Odds: 2.06 at SBOBET


Category: English football
Date: 21-09-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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