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Manchester City - Paris SG    (lost)

Champions League Semifinals, Second leg, the first leg score: Man City 2:1

So,  the team led by Pep Guardiola has made huge step towards the finals with 1:2 victory in the first road leg. Now easier (at least on paper) part of the job is in front of them. All they need to do is not to lose convincingly this home leg. Even 0:1 loss would be enough good result for City.  
But I feel nothing is over here yet. PSG is too great squad to be so easily written of. I mean 1.60 on Man City's victory in today's second leg?  That must be one good joke. Especially with fact the host is not in a hurry to chase anything. 
PSG has proved they can make result against top opponents even on the road.  Let's just mention 3:2 road win in Munich against Bayern. 

Anyone who was watching first leg against City,  probably would agree that French team was way better opponent back then. And that was completely undeserving loss. PSG was playing well and had 1:0 lead and then conceded two ridiculous second half goals. The first one after shot that wasn't even supposed to be the shot on target.  And what to say about second one from the free kick.  Such a rookie mistake where the players moved in the wall and left big hole.  
In any case,  events from the pitch in the last week game,  gives me right to think PSG is at least on equal level with Man City if not bettter team.  

The host is not too much trustworthy, at least not on these ridiculous odds. They had few not so great games lately. We could find the reason for this in fact that the title in the English Premier League was already secured long ago.  But,  also in the Champions League it wasn't all smoth for City.  Dortmund had that one suspiciously disallowed goal in the first leg. And at the end City has scored only in 90th minute to secure 2:1 home win. Then in second leg in Germany,  Dortmund was leading 1:0 at halftime. 
So,  far from that Man City is so impressive. That's why these today's odds are hardly justified. 
Ok, unlike Pep Guardiola who has practically full squad available (Eric Garcia is the only missing due to illness), Mauricio Pochettino is with few concerns about its squad. The biggest one is of course Mbappe who has missed the weekend game against Lens in the French league. But realistically he is going to play today. He is having minor injury problem and that was more like a rest. 
Idrissa Gueye is definitely out since he got a red card in the first leg.  

The bottom line,  I think PSG can make this semifinals super interesting. Even if they fails and lose,  I don't see it more than minimal loss. 

Published: 04-05-2021, 15:57 CET Pick: PSG +1 AH
Odds: 1.79 at Unibet

Category: European football
Date: 04-05-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)

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