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Mannarino vs Lajovic    (lost)

Wow, this must be one of the biggest overlays ( excluding ITF and bookies like 1xbet and Bwin) in tennis for several weeks in my opinion

Dusan Lajovic.

He is guy who has improved his game a lot during the past a couple of years. He was clearly the better player against the big serving Lukas Rosol in his previous match despite losing the second set in 6-7. The bookies have set him as a clear underdog against Adrian Mannarino on Wednesday. I'm not sure if he should be an underdog at all. After a long consideration I personally would estimate he has a some 49- 50% chance of winning here. I will be greedy with the pick here on Betrush and take Dusan in straight sets at 4.50.


Mannarino has had a pretty easy draw so far beating Dzumhur and Kukushkin. Neither of these players is in great form and Mannarino has impressive head-to-head statistics against both. Yes, we are aware of the fact that the Serb's record is against big servers is bad, but Lajovic we must remember Lajovic has defeated Mannarino in both of their previous meetings (indoor and outdoor hard). Overall Dusan has done great  against he always tricky left-handers. Let's take a closer look at his stats versus lefties: Lajovic has won 6 of his last 7 main level matches on all hard courts against lefties, like A. Mannarino. During his career he has grabbed 10 wins and lost 5 times against left-handers.

 I really have a hard time trying to understand the odds here. Probably the bookies remember last year (too) well. Mannarino surprised everybody by making the final here in Moscow in Moscow a year ago. Yes, he did play well but that was than and we do not put too much emphasis on that statistic. It was in fact only his fourth semi final appearance in over 40 tournaments! After Moscow last year he has not made even quarter final in 5 indoor hard tournaments in a row. In the big  picture we can also see that Mannarino has not done well on indoor hard over the years and has unimpressive hold/break total.
Published: 18-10-2019, 03:01 CET Pick: 0-2 sets
Odds: 4.5 at Unibet


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 18-10-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 6 (tipster's average: 8)




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