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Medvedev - Tsitsipas    (lost)

ATP Monte Carlo

To be honest I still have to be able to assess Medvedev's level on clay. He has changed so much about stamina, consistency and playing style in recent years. But still I think clay is the worst surface for Daniil. Yeah he is a solid baseliner, which is a great thing on this surface, but at the same time here his movement is less smooth and his flat shots are less dangerous as the ball bounces high and playing conditions are generally slow. Bookies are also doubtful about him and we saw it in the odds they offered on Medvedev against Joao Sousa in R1 (1.60, very high). The Russian got two very easy wins over Sousa and Albot these days, but both have no weapons to put in trouble a strong player like Medvedev, so I don't want to give importance to this. Tsitsipas plays his best tennis on clay, he expects a lot from himself, even more on clay season now that Stefanos has become a real top player. I just think Tsitsipas will be able to prevail for most of extended rallies over Medvedev, commanding with his forehand and mixing up the game, drop shots included. Tsitsipas is also big motivated to get the first win over the Russian after three losses in a row, there is a small rivalry between the two. Tsitsipas odds may not seem full of value at first sight, but I think Stefanos has good edge in this clash despite Medvedev may seem a tough player to face (not so much on clay for me).

Published: 18-04-2019, 01:46 CET Pick: Tsitsipas
Odds: 1.8 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 18-04-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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