I think theres value on Kraft. I am not even entirely sure there will be race tomorrow, but if so it should be at least partially lottery because of wind. So I want to pick someone who definitely can make it, but his unstable results can drive odds higher - so i wont be disappointed when wind will destroy the pick.
For that reason I have Ortlieb top 3 for 12, but I think Kraft win is even better value. He won twice last year in Ruka, but mainly he's decent this season, but so far quite unstable and unable to show two great jumps. He may do that tomorrow, but also once again - win can damage Paschke and Hoerl and then Kraft can have a chance even with only one excellent jump. He's definitely capable of that.
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