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Mets - Nationals    (lost)

DeGrom Should start the All-STAR game if they are in their right mind anyway, but that is another story. Scherzers numbers are good enough for another All-Star game>2.33 ERA with electric SO stuff>12.48 K/9 and awesome 2.26 BB/9, 0.92 HR/9. 


From all teams Max loves to face the Mets the most, Scherzer is 8-4 with a 2.23 ERA in 15 career appearances against the Mets. 


Under is 7-1 in Scherzers last 8 starts overall


Despite a better road record of 24-22 ( 22-24 at home ), the Nats are hitting better at home. At home they score 4.46 RPG. They are ranked 9th at home in hitting stats. On the road they score 4.24 RPG. But more important though, they are ranked 14th away from home. 


For New York LHP Steven Matz on the mound. 3.31 ERA with decent stuff>8.13 K/9, 3.51 BB/9, 1.30 HR/9. What i like for the under is his 52.0GB%. 


Under is 7-0 in Matzs last 7 starts overall.
Under is 4-0 in Matzs last 4 home starts.


Under is 33-16-6 in Nationals last 55 road games vs. a left-handed starter.


New Yorks split is much more remarkable. Away from home they score 4.74 RPG. Ranked a very good 8th place with hitting on the road. At home however they scored only 143 (!) runs. That is by far the lowest of all teams at home. Oakland is the 2nd worst hitting team at home for example and they scored 168 runs. So that is just 2.98 RPG at home for the Mets. 


Under is 15-5 in Mets last 20 home games vs. a right-handed starter.


These Bullpens are not really to be trusted and hence the first half under here.

Published: 12-07-2018, 22:01 CET Pick: Under 4.0 first half ( first 5 innings )
Odds: 1.67 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 13-07-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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