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Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs    (won)

Milwaukee Brewers are one of the nicest surprises this season. With the record of 39-27 they showed that they have one very solid team this season. 

But I think the big difference is their bullpen. Their bullpen is among the best in the league (I rank it 4th best) and this could be the crucial today as well.

Chicago Cubs are definitely one of the best teams in the league, but some numbers can fool an average bettor tonight. 

They will start with Chatwood, who holds ERA of 3.86, but if you go to research his numbers little bit deeper, you would see, that he is not playing well and it is only a matter of time when his ERA will go up. He has more walks than strike outs this season (56/53 in 58 innings) and this is one very concerning thing. 

Despite Anderson doesn't have good numbers either, I still rank him slightly higher than Chatwood on the other side. 

Any of those two pitchers can blew up the game and I think that very important role will have bullpens tonight and here I give the advantage to Milwaukee. Despite ERA numbers show at the first look, that both bullpens are very good (Brewers ERA 2.70, Cubs 2.73), the other ERA metrics numbers show us that Milwaukee has better bullpen. 

Milwaukee have been very good at home this season (18-12) and they have been good against right handed pitchers too (32-19) and I will take a chance with them. 

Play Milwaukee
Published: 12-06-2018, 16:13 CET Pick: Milwaukee
Odds: 1.95 at bwin


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 13-06-2018
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)




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