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Mladenovic - Maria    (void)

WTA Nottingham

Interesting spot. Mladenovic has just finished playing and winning the doubles tournament in Paris and will play this match on Tuesday. Clay - grass transition is very difficult and requires several days of adaptation. Kiki is good on grass overall, but she should arrive in the UK just tomorrow. On the other hand Maria is a brilliant grass-courter for her ranking, she is dangerous with her constant rhythm changes and slices that are very effective on this surface. The German also won a tournament on grass last year and already played 4 matches (3-1) in such conditions in these days. Maria ML odds seem to have a nice value, but their h2h holding me back a little. It looks like Mladenovic doesn't suffer too much from Maria's particular playing style, but this handicap is too big anyway. Also Maria is a good server and I expect Kiki to be shaky and erratic, especially at the beginning. I'm not sure Maria is really underdog here (Mladenovic overrated after her clay season?), clear value on the German side for me.
Published: 09-06-2019, 16:32 CET Pick: Maria +4
Odds: 1.83 at Pinnacle


Category: WTA tennis
Date: 11-06-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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