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Montana - Lokomotiv Plovdiv    (void)

Bulgarian efbet league (Parva liga)
Match will be played at 6:30 P.M.

Today it will be sunny in Montana, the temperature will be around 10 degrees Celsius. The hosts are 12th in the table, and the visitors are the runners-up in this 14-team league.
Both teams will play without basic goalkeepers, but their substitutes are experienced players. Montana may have a problem with their defensive lines (defenders and defensive midfielders) due to recent injuries and the weaker disposition of various players. The value of Montana's players is 60% lower than the starting value of 11 away team. I think the hosts who will be defensively positioned (5-3-2) will probably have big problems stopping Lokomotiv's strong offensive, second best in the league.
Montana has not conceded a goal 5 times this season, including 2 at home. The last time it was in February, when they had their only spring victory over CSKA 1948 (6th place today). They recently concedes fewer goals than before, but still loses more than draws. Montana has the 3rd weakest offensive, but at home they striken most of his goals, 16 out of 20. They are in the 13th place in the form table.
Lokomotiv is not only a strong team on the offensive, but also on the defensive. Together with Ludogorets and CSKA they belongs to the group of 3 teams conceding the least goals in the league - 18. Lokomotiv conceded the least goals away - only 8. In the form table they are 4th, which was caused by several draws that they recorded in spring. Lokomotiv has not lost the goal in the last 4 league matches. In the last 2 matches, they finally documented thir sports advantage over their rival and scored 2 goals in each of them.
In their last 7 H2H matches, Montana always conceded 2 goals, tied only once (2: 2 in Plovdiv, autumn 2020), and scored goals only in this one match.
Summary: Montana's strengths against Lokomotiv are hard to see. Only the fact that they play at home gives them a slightly better chance. The H2H and season statistics, however, show a clear winner. I hope that the advantage of the guests, visible in every element, will give them a clear victory. Good weather should be more helpful to a better team that performs well on foreign pitches.
Published: 15-04-2021, 12:04 CET Pick: Lokomotiv AH(-1,0)
Odds: 2.24 at Pinnacle


Category: Bulgarian football
Date: 15-04-2021
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 4 (tipster's average: 4)




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