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Montenegro - Serbia    (lost)

UEFA Nations League C, group 4

The first ever meeting between Montenegro and Serbia. Two friendly nations but today I think nothing will be friendly and I expect both teams will push hard in aim to win all three points.
Both started this competition with win and draw. Both defeated weak Lithuania (Montenegro at home, Serbia away) while played draw against Romania (Montenegro away, Serbia at home).
Obviously Serbia is more quality side but I don't see odds around 2.00 here as enough good value. 

Both teams are with plenty absences but I think Serbian team is affected more so +1 reason to skip here away win.
I had only doubt whether to go with 1X or with goals. At the end I opted for goals. Both to score seems to me as winner.
The head coach of home team, Tumbakovic is without few players, the biggest blow is Savic, important defender for Montenegro who is out. But attacker Jovetic who also till few days ago was on the absent list, will play and that's going in favor of this bet. 
In Serbia defender and captain Kolarov is out. Also Serbia play this competition without its best goalkeeper Stojkovic. This is big blow if you ask me. I would understand it if instead of Stojkovic, Rajkovic is on goal. But with Dmitrovic from Eibar, well, I can't understand it. 
Also important player for defense, Nemanja Matic (Man Utd) is out. Another important player from defense, defensive midfielder, Luka Milivojevic is kicked out of the National Team after World Cup. Nastasic is the defender who would find its place in much stronger sides than Serbia, but here he can't play. Tosic is another defender who is kicked out after WC. 
I mean, lot of funny things in Serbian team, as always I would say. We have now some guys from the Serbian Super Liga. Obviously, that's not enough good quality. 
The last who is ruled out for today's game is Besiktas' attacker Ljajic. 

At the end, it's turned out Serbia is the team who is with much more absent players here. If someone call this squad that will start today as Serbian B team, IMO wont be much wrong.
That being said, I am leaning towards Montenegro double chance. Still, both to score is for me way better option. Do not forget Serbia have great attacker in face of Aleksandar Mitrovic who is among scoring leaders in the English Premier League although plays for Fulham who is one of weaker sides there. 

IMO we will see today at least one goal for each teams. 

Published: 11-10-2018, 18:08 CET Pick: Yes
Odds: 2.09 at Oddsring


Category: European football
Date: 11-10-2018
Option: Both To Score
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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