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MoraBanc Andorra - Asvel Lyon-Villeurbanne    (lost)

Eurocup, QF, series best of 3, Game

Asvel leads 1:0 after winning Game 1 at home few days ago. Back then my bet was on the French team to win and to cover -4.5 handicap. Still, although they confirmed to be better of these two sides, Asvel failed to cover, they have won only with 4 pts. It was failure first of all thanks to poor game opening, early big deficit as well big deficit at halftime. But pretty quickly Asvel was able to put things on its place in the second half and I thought they would deliver also on handicap no matter of poor first half. But at the end of the game some ridiculous events happened. It was just one of the many examples of my terrible luck lately. Even when I do everything correct and pick the right game, something must go wrong. I'll just say, on that 79:75 result, Asvel had possession and needed to inbound the ball with 6 seconds left. So basically Andorra send then to free throw line, Asvel hits at least one and handicap is covered. But, after time-out, Asvel violated 5 seconds rule during inbound and they gave the ball away. 
So, it was unfortunate loss on the handicap bet back then. But, few days later, my opinion about this matchup didn't change in anything. Everything I said then, I think even more now. Ok, now the game is in Spain but unlike -4.5 last time, now we have +5.5 on Asvel who IMO is clearly better side of these two. And it's still stand the fact Andorra is not doing well in Spanish ACB, I'm not sure they are too much in Eurocup, they have bigger worries in ACB. In any case, from -4.5 to +5.5, Andorra's home court doesn't worth those 10 pts change.
So, my bet could be only on Asvel. Not just I expect from visiting team to cover, but IMO this series is going to end today. 
Published: 08-03-2019, 19:38 CET Pick: Asvel +5.5
Odds: 1.93 at 188bet


Category: European basketball
Date: 08-03-2019
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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