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NY Rangers - Sabres    (lost)

Such a shame as the Wild played a terrific game, led by two, but Vegas forced an OT in the very last minute. Today I think another chance for a great Dog and here is why.

The Sabres goalie is not confirmed, Hutton is expected to start in the net for the Sabres. He recorded an average of 3.20 GAA/0.89 Sv%. BUT, on the road, he is 1-1 with an excellent 1.20 GAA/0.95 Sv%.

For the Rangers, Shesterkin is confirmed. He is playing great with a 2.43 GAA/0.91 SV% BUT he is 2-5 at home with a 2.34 GAA.

I watched Buffalo a lot this season, they play so much better on the road. All numbers that matter confirms this as they recorded on the road an excellent 52.64 (6th).
BUT what about that 57.34 HDCF% and a 55.63 xGF% which ranks them 1st (!) in both regards and makes them the best road team in all of the hockey indeed.  At home, for instance, the Sabres recorded just a 47.76 (26th) and a 44.20 xGF% (29th) which is indeed a difference like a day and night. I am very curious if they can hold on to that, but so far so good.
The Rangers on the other hand recorded at home an average of 49.35 CF% (18th) and a 51.07 xGF% (18th).

I think the odds are TOTALLY wrong, the Sabres are one of the best teams playing on the road and they have a much better special team as well,- that Sabres Power Play is for instance the 3rd (!) best in the NHL (Rangers Rank #27).

Hence backing the Sabres as a lively road dog for plus money. 
Published: 02-03-2021, 22:08 CET Pick: Buffalo ML
Odds: 2.35 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: NHL ice hockey
Date: 03-03-2021
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)



Four-Seam 02-03-2021, 22:14
Star player Panarin probably also out, he has some problems due to assault allegations.
Four-Seam 03-03-2021, 02:39
goalie screwing me here as Buffalo is playing FANTASTICALLY the first two periods and numbers confirm: 20 scoring chances vs 11 chances for NY , damn it goalie Hutton terrible with a shot from a distance, even Kreider was surprised with that goal, haha, but i was right here because Buffalo the better team with a wonderful 62.5 CF% (wow ),>37.5 CF% for NY indeed after 2 periods. Hopefully they bounce back and we see some justice.

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