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YIELD	AVG ✓ ODDS	AVG ✗ ODDS
-5%	2.2	2.47
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Nagoya Grampus - Oita Trinita (lost)

Japan - J1

Nagoya are in a great home serie of 8 consecutive home wins. I believe such a team can enlarge the serie with one more victory against a team that is almost theoretically saved and only a miracle can result in the guests` being threatened by relegation till the end of the season. Nagoya fight for top positioning and three points are a must for them in a home match so I look forward to a solid home team performance and stolen three points with a minimum victory. 59% of the victories of Nagoya this season are realized by minimum goal margin and for the home games the percentage is 64%. Oita are good and will surely offer solid resistance but they do not really need the points and that should result in a minimum loss of theirs. The injury of Kanazaki for the hosts can also be expected to decrease the chances for a handicap home win as he is the second topgoalscorer of the team this season. The hosts have good enough squad and can get the job done even without Kanazaki which they promptly did in the past two rounds. The chances of success of this bet are above 45%.

Published: 27-11-2020, 20:46 CET Pick: Nagoya EH-1 Draw
Odds: 3.4 at bet365

* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: Japanese football
Date: 28-11-2020
Option: Euro (1X2) Handicap
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 10)

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