Neman - Smolevichi    (lost)

I like this line and for me there is value here. I watched Smolevichi in their last match, having a support pick that included their first seasonal win, I was right as they beat Gorodeja 4-1 through a widely good performance. It's also true that Gorodeja are a poor side, but still Smolevichi was playing decently for weeks and the time had come to win. Smolevichi are still one of the worst teams of the league in terms of quality, but their defensive mentality allows them to concede not much and that especially on the road where they play with many men behind the ball line. Not by chance Smolevichi are 0-3-2 away and never lost with more than one goal difference so far. Neman are one of those teams I can say little about, not having a good knowledge of them. They seem the classic mid team with a decent solidity at home (good form as well), but nothing so special to deserve such a low price here. I think the standard odds for the home win should be something like 1.90-2.00, also Smolevichi just won their first match and who knows if that could be a confidence booster for them. Smolevichi's trend to rarely lose in a clear way makes me feel more covered about this pick, obviously hoping for a positive result which is certainly possible.