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Neptunas vs Zalgiris Kaunas    (won)

While other bookies are keeping the total 10 points higher, Betsafe somehow are holding it at 147. If you take a quick look at the head-to-head history you'll soon notice the reason why. This game is different, though, or at least it should be.
Neptunas have recently lost their leading trio of Girdziunas, Butkevicius, and Palacios and their defence is being very bad. I have no clue how they are going to handle Zalgiris' frontcourt. They may use a lot of zone defence, but in this case hands will be opened to Udrich, Milaknis, Pangos, Micic and other Zalgiris shooters. Why not to take Zalgiris to win? Because they are incredibly tired. This game will be fifth for Zalgiris in 10 days, which is huge. Offensively they are too strong and too smart to struggle, but defensively it might be harder as Neptunas will come with all the energy at Kaunas as it's typical to their home games. Even for Zalgiris defensive focus is becoming hard to maintain with games flowing like a river.
No doubt about nice value on Over 147.

Published: 19-01-2018, 11:41 CET Pick: Over 147.5
Odds: 1.9 at Betsafe


Category: Lithuanian basketball
Date: 21-01-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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