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Netherlands - Croatia    (lost)

Netherlands were in the game against Sweden until best player Steijns got a red card. After that, it was all about damage control. Yet, Netherlands put up 31 goals against Sweden, but it was too late to repair the gap. However, now Steijns will be back, and play a full game - in what is a must win match for Netherlands.

I come back to this statistic, so let's read it out loud again:

Since 2025 (full year) until today, Netherlands have played 19 matches. In 18 of them, they have scored 30+. 

That gives good fundamentals to stay in games and potentially win them. 

Croatia perhaps underestimated Georgia, and were down by 6 goals, until eventually winning by 3. Still, they conceded 29 goals against what is considered the weakest team in the tournament. Croatia perhaps got a wake up call. However, I sense they are overestimated

Yes they were finalists last year, but it was thanks to a home crowd. It's different now. They continue to concede large numbers, too many technical mistakes. Croatia currently consist of too many players who are trying to find their form. 

Netherlands have that "possible giant killer" aura. They have taken some notable results prior to the tournament, such as beating Norway. Can they also compete against an unconvincing Croatia? Yes. Especially when they have to go for the win.

Under those circumstances, bookies are offering a staggering 4.00 on a Netherlands upset. It becomes an absolute must try, at low stakes (2)

Sure, you can go for the + handicap, but I think Croatia looks beatable right now. 
Published: 18-01-2026, 11:23 CET Pick: Netherlands
Odds: 4 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: International handball
Date: 19-01-2026
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 2 (tipster's average: 7)



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