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Nottingham Forest - Burnley    (lost)

These two's reserve sides met in Carabao Cup recently and Burnley won with a 90th minute goal from Amdouni but doesnt look undeserved considering key passes were 9-3, possession 60-40, corners 9-3 all in Burnley's favour which suggests their playing style was a good fit. Now obviously Forest without Awoniyi and Gibbs White is less than half a team i'd go as far as saying so the end result in Carabao is irrelevant. Im pretty sure Burnley will play the wame way because thats how Kompany is, even vs Spurs they attacked and got battered, basically thats been the story of their season so far - poor defending. Forest's pace up front is a major threat and so are set pieces, i completely understand why 2 guys here are backing the hosts but again 9 key passes is a stat i wouldnt overlook because it shows Burnley can open up Forest's defense and to be fair hosts have kept only 1 clean sheet. Did well vs Man utd and Arsenal, sure, but still conceded 2+ in those games and thats above both's team total average. Chelsea.. they cant score even if you leave an open net
Published: 18-09-2023, 15:16 CET Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 2 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: English football
Date: 18-09-2023
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



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