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Oakland - Toronto    (won)

Oakland got swept in Denver, how sick is that with all that power on the road. It is even more sick since we saw 3 unders in the friendliest hitters park ever made. Not that they had no chances, especially in the first two games plenty of chances with  bases loaded. But here Oakland returns at home and i have to fade their opponent pitcher. Here is why>

Dissapointing season for Estrada as he pitched worse than his 4.72 ERA>7.03 K/9, 2.51 BB/9, 1.51 HR/9, 25.7 GB%<red alert here and potential trouble against the powerful Athletics.

On the road he pitched worse: 4.97 ERA>6.70 K/9, 3.02 BB/9.

What is more, he is coming from the 10 day DL. He pitched a rehab just 6 days ago and get rocked with a 8.10 ERA and even worse stuff as he got hit super hard.

Against Oakland this year>6.2 IP> 4.05 ERA.

The reason for all his struggles is because his main pitch is not working, the Changeup indeed. Has been a big weapon in recent years but he is not sharp with the change.

What is interesting is that the A's are fantastic against the Change, in fact they are the best changeup hitting team in all of baseball, that's right, ranked 1st indeed.

For Oakland Edwin Jackson on the mound. Was not pitching from the start to his 3.86 ERA but he is catching up. Despite that, he has been decent and kept his team in the game over and over again> 6.94 K/9, 2.57 BB/9, 1.29 HR/9. At home however a better 3.46 ERA, 8.31 K/9 and AMAZING command>0.69 BB/9 (!!!).

John Gibbons is not a manager with patience and surrending 3 runs or more in a inning for his starting will already lead to a call to the bullpen, so i will take my chances with the first half option including a small protection
Published: 30-07-2018, 19:25 CET Pick: Oakland first half +0.00 ( first 5 innings )
Odds: 1.7 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 31-07-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 9 (tipster's average: 9)




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