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Ofner - Celikbilek    (won)

Challenger Istanbul

This pick is pretty based on how the market is reacting to local Celikbilek, also taking into account the location as a Turkish Challenger can easily hide external factors. Altug's odds started at 2.50 to drop at 1.90 in closing against Giustino in R1, the Turk even won 6-0 6-3. The Italian had to be priced like 1.40, some mistery in what happened on and off court. Here Celikbilek is currently priced higher (2.60), but still in drop as he started at 3.00+. I'm not sure Ofner would be favourite against Giustino on any playing condition except indoors and grass, so strange odds once again. Ofner is nothing special on hard and barely beat veteran local Marsel Ilhan in R1, in what was a poor quality match (the Turk was priced 7.00+). Celikbilek has a good hard-court record at ITF level and he is Challenger material as well. Going with him to cover a plus handicap, +3.5 in this one (take +3 if you use Pinnacle and want similar odds).


Published: 21-10-2020, 05:17 CET Pick: Celikbilek +3.5
Odds: 1.8 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: ATP tennis
Date: 21-10-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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