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Olimpija - Partizan    (lost)

ABA Liga, game from Ljubljana between Olimpija and Partizan Belgrade. I was without bet on Partizan for a while but IMO this game is the right chance to profit on them. 
These two are big rivals. Their rivalry goes all back to former Yugoslavia. So, we can expect both to be highly motivated no matter either of them is not in the main role in ABA in this season. Lately (in last several seasons) mutual games in Slovenia have been very interesting. Two seasons ago we have had four over times played when they met here. Mainly, Olimpija was winning those home mutual games in recent years. Team from Slovenia also won the first mutual game in this season played in Serbia. It was road win achieved after big comeback.
Having in mind all said above and knowing this is probably the weakest season for Partizan in last almost 20 years, bet on the road team seems as not too much smart choice. But I believe Partizan will win today.
Partizan after many years won't compete in playoffs. I mean only some miracle can save them. They need to win all three games left that is almost impossible given the fact after Olimpija the Serbian team will meet Buducnost at home and Cedevita on the road, so current second and third placed. Even those three wins would not be enough but Partizan would need also Mornar to lose all three games. So, clearly Partizan is done when it comes to playoffs race. But they are not done in term of aim to keep the current 5th position. Namely there is also importance of finishing 5th due to placement into Eurocup for next season although Partizan probably would receive Wild Card from Uleb in any case. 
But even if we forget all that, Partizan will go for a win here. They will be motivated, be sure about that. The mentioned rivalry as well revenge factor for loss at home earlier in the season. 

I said this was the worst season for Partizan. But, looking on the first part of the season (players as well coach Nikolic) and this situation now with pretty much changed roster and new coach, I must say Partizan seems to be much better. After all, you can see also by the results that Partizan improved. The only defeat in last five rounds was that one from Crvena zvezda who seems to be again the best team in the league.
Those new players who arrived to Partizan IMO are quite good for this level of competition.
One of main reasons for this match is also the fact about Olimpija roster. Namely the hosts have many problems with injuries as well illness of their players.
Not to go now too deep but Domen Lorbek, Jan Barbarič are injured. Gregor Hrovat, Erjon Kastrati are also questionable. Igor Tratnik, Bojan Radulović are both doubtful due to illness. That's not all, Badžim broke his nose and if play it will be with face mask. Also few other concerns.
IMO Partizan must take advantage of all problems in Olimpija roster.
Published: 10-02-2018, 18:15 CET Pick: Partizan -1.5
Odds: 1.87 at bwin


Category: European basketball
Date: 10-02-2018
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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