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Opelka vs Murray    (won)

I wasn't expecting this odd setting at all so I will gladly take it. I would think twicenif Murray played another long match today vs Goffin, however he will get his more then welcome rest after David retired. 
This match up in particular won't drain him since it will not be psysical in any manner. Opelka does not have any weapon beside serve to threaten even current Murray. And the serve can stop at some point. Also the variety Murray has in his game (lob, drop shot and passing shot) is perfect for a player like Opelka who is anything but a strategic thinker. 
In my eyes, Murray is bigger favourite.
Published: 13-01-2022, 17:01 CET Pick: Murray
Odds: 1.9 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: ATP tennis
Date: 14-01-2022
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)



thestarling 14-01-2022, 05:11
I`m with you on this analysis, however Riley is yet to be broken in this tournament and Andy goes through some really sloppy service games. The way I see it with these serve bots: you`re gambling on first to 7 tie-breakers, which really can come as coin flips. On the way to a tie-breaker the serve-bot has the advantage because in the event that the opponent plays a sloppy service game the set is basically over. Murray will have to be mindful because Riley is rallying well (as demonstrated in his W against Nakashima), Cressy beat Riley in a lucky third set tie-break (literally by one point). It`s a pass for me but GL as always brotha!
TopTen 14-01-2022, 08:43
Opelka is far from serve bot comparing to Karlovic or Isner for example, he improved a lot in movement and baseline game, but I was under the impression Murray will use more tactical approach here. Anyway he will loose without loosing a serve while he has 1/8 break pt conversion. Always sick way to fail your pick.

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