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Orioles - Phillies    (won)

Gausman and the under has been a very good combination so far because he is better than his 4.11 ERA is showing us. He has good command (2.18 BB/9 ) and with his high 46.6GB% he is cruising through innings when he has his splitter going on. He generates also a big amount of SO with that Split-Finger, 49 to be precise, while he uses the FA much more, so that is impressive but also logical since he has set up pitches in order to finish it with his splitter.


He will face the Phillies for the first time.


Under is 4-1-1 in Gausmans last 6 starts overall.
Under is 7-2-1 in Gausmans last 10 home starts.


For Philly Pivetta on the mound. Another guy that is showing better stuff than his 4.62 ERA indicates>10.64 K/9 (!), 2.91 BB/9, 1.30 HR/9, 44.4GB%. He pitched earlier this year in Baltimore and had electric stuff as he struck out 11 (!) batters while he allowed just one earned run with 1 BB.


Orioles remains the worst hitting team in all of baseball, ranked 30th (!), dead last indeed.


Under is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 interleague home games.


Phillies also a bit cold lately, hitting just a .312 wOBA in the last 14 days and ranked 18th in that span in advanced hitting stats.


Under is 13-3 in Phillies last 16 overall.
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.


Some weak spots in the bullpens so will deal with the starters solely and hence i will take my chances with the first half under.

Published: 12-07-2018, 22:04 CET Pick: Under 5.5 first half ( first 5 innings )
Odds: 1.704 at Pinnacle


Category: MLB baseball
Date: 13-07-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 9)




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