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Ottawa - Toronto    (won)

The Ottawa Senators are coming off a 1-4 home loss to St. Louis on Thursday, third for Guy Boucher's side in six games in January.The Senators have very small chances to make the playoffs this season (fourteen points behind eighth-placed Pittsburgh), but if there is something positive in Ottawa's performance over the past few weeks, it's definitely the sudden awakening of the Senators' offense: the hosts have scored a total of 25 goals in their last eight games (3.13 per game) and three or more goals in six of their nine games at Canadian Tire Centre since the beginning of December (5-4-0  30/37).
The Toronto Maple Leafs look to avoid a season-worst fifth straight loss after those against the Blue Jackets (2-3 OT/home), the Senators (3-4/home), the Blues (1-2 OT/home) and Philadelphia Flyers on Thursday (2-3 OT/away).The Maple Leafs have totaled just eight goals during that span, but I think that they might show better efficiency in offense tonight, given the fact that Craig Anderson (12-14-5 with a 3.21 GAA and .900 SV%), who will start for the Senators, continues to struggle.
The 36-year-old netminder gave up three goals on 36 shots in Thursday's 1-4 home loss to St. Louis and has an ugly 4.01 GAA and .907 save percentage from his last five starts.In addition to that, he's posted an 8-8-3 record with a 3.33 goals-against and .897 SV% in eighteen home contests (seventeen starts).Anderson has won each of his last four starts against the Maple Leafs, but posted a 3.28 GAA and .916 SV% over that span.
Frederik Andersen (22-13-4 with a 2.67 GAA and .922 SV&), who will start in goal for Toronto, stopped 34 of 37 shots in Thursday's 2-3 overtime loss at Wells Fargo Center.Andersen has an 11-7-2 record with a 2.66 goals-against and .922 save percentage in his previous twenty road contests this season, but the 28-year-old goalie has struggled against the Senators, going 0-3-2 with a 3.99 GAA and .877 SV% in five starts since October 2016.In the last of them, on Jan. 10, Andersen gave up four goals on 32 shots in a 3-4 loss at Air Canada Centre.
I expect more than five goals in that game between the Ottawa Senators and Toronto Maple Leafs.
Published: 20-01-2018, 22:09 CET Pick: over 5.50
Odds: 1.81 at Pinnacle


Category: NHL ice hockey
Date: 21-01-2018
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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