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Otte - Forti    (lost)

Challenger Forli 2

I find it sensible to oppose guys like Otte and Masur once again, who have in common getting a long run last week while playing below average the whole tournament (winner and runner-up respectively). I don't want to be here to complain about what happened (some matches moved indoors due to rain), but I don't trust either of them in their last push of the season, especially because they aren't traditionally strong while adding matches in a short time. A less good thing is that they are back to playing indoors (favourite conditions), but I still think I'm making the right decision in terms of value. This spot in particular is what in my eyes has so much of it, Otte barely priced 1.10 is a big WTF at this stage even if his motivation could be boosted being one step away from breaking into the top 100. Forti is overall a decent local guy in fast conditions, also good server to stay with Otte in a supposed serve-oriented match. Francesco has been struggling to win matches for months, still being competitive and getting better of late as for example he came very close to beating Masur last week (losing 7-6 6-7 3-6). I know I could go safer with +GH, but having ML odds at 7.00ish means too much value to let it go.

Published: 01-12-2021, 00:24 CET Pick: Forti
Odds: 7.04 at Pinnacle


Category: ATP tennis
Date: 01-12-2021
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 8 (tipster's average: 9)



finnishflash 01-12-2021, 10:12
K, I will follow, seems like an ez money. Cheers
Finnishflash 01-12-2021, 12:41
Forti you fighter from 15-40... Gimme +1.5 Sets @2.5
Finnishflash 01-12-2021, 12:46
I think I took The wrong line - it was like 2ish for +4.5... well anyways rare tennis bets for me these days, Im done w this stress factor

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