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Paris SG - Metz    (lost)

France » Ligue 1 » R3

I'm not fan of these bets on huge favourites, at least not in the top leagues. In minor competitions like Balkan leagues, yes while among stronger leagues maybe Portugal is the place where you can always find something interesting on Porto and Benfica. But this time will make exception and will try with PSG as huge home favorite in the game of the French League. 

Firstly, they opened the season with both losses and both times without scored goal, 1:0 loss away at Lens and 0:1 home loss vs Marseille 0:1. That was first loss from 
Marseille in almost decade long period.
We can find excuse for PSG for opening round loss in fact that they were heavily weakened, without more than half of the regular players, including all main superstars. But already against Marseille they were able to use a little bit stronger squad but since the opponent was much stronger, the result was the same, new loss.

But now against Metz simply there are no excuses. You are at home and against one of weaker teams in the league, opponent whom you trashed nine straight times. If we count only games in Paris, it's seven straight victories for PSG against this opponent and 23:2 goal difference in those seven games. Furthermore, in last ten visits here, Metz has scored only two goals overall.
Honestly, I don't expect them to score today either unless PSG put 4 to 5 in the Metz net before that. Metz is going to play extremely defensive like they did also in the first two rounds when lost at home from Monaco and away from Lille. Both times it was only 1:0 while against Lille they hold on almost till the injury time. But as soon as Metz concedes today, obviously it's going to be much easier for PSG later on. 
I expect 1:0/3:0 or maybe 0:0/2:0 HT-FT.

In the mentioned previous round vs Marseille, the incident involving multiple players on both sides, occurred late in the match. It resulted in even five red cards including three for PSG, Neymar, Leandro Paredes and Layvin Kurzawa. Obviously this is now new problem cause they are suspended for today's match. But as said above, no excuses today. After all, Mauro Icardi, Keylor Navas, Marquinhos and Kylian Mbappe who all missed the start of the season, could be involved now, at least the first three mentioned. Also, Julian Draxler already returned and he was out only against Lens. 
In the road team, Kevin N'Doram remains out with an Achilles injury while Manuel Cabit is yet to recover from the car accident. 
Published: 16-09-2020, 19:26 CET Pick: PSG -1.5
Odds: 1.88 at Pinnacle


Category: French football
Date: 16-09-2020
Option: Asian Handicap
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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