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Partizan - Alba    (won)

Eurocup, 2nd stage (Top 16), round 2

Compared with initial odds, we have now big movement. From being few points underdog, Alba is now small favorite. That being said, I think now we have nice value with home team, Partizan.

In opening round of Top 16, Partizan has lost away in Lithuania. Overall it was decent game for Serbian team but not enough good for road win on tough visit. But now at home court, IMO it should be different story.
Obviously, Partizan has big advantage when playing in Belgrade.
In the meantime, Partizan played one more game. It was here at home in ABA liga when they defeated Mornar. Coming back from Lithuania, it wasn't good game for Partizan. But they won with very late effort (Mornar was 7 pts up and with possession on less than 3 minutes left). 
I feel such victory will be nice wind in their back for today's as well for upcoming games.
Overall, after changing the head coach earlier in the season, we can freely to say there is obvious improvement in Partizan form and results. Andrea Trinchieri is serious coach for European standards, there is no doubt about that. He knows Alba very well since he was in Germany (Bamberg) for a long period. By his own words, he has lost only one game from Alba in almost 20 games. It's true his Bamberg was great back then, played Euroleague but of course also Alba is always one of best there. So such record against this opponents is worth a big respect.
Alba has won their opening round of Top 16. It was at home vs Monaco. But they are coming from surprising road loss in Bundesliga. Overall they are only 2-2 in last 4 there and only 3-3 away from home in league where there are many much easier road games than it's this one today in Eurocup.

Partizan recently brought new player, it's experienced Alex Renfroe who was German champion with Trinchieri in Bamberg. Renfroe was most credited for above mentioned win over Mornar. Obviously it's a big singing for Partizan. 

Published: 09-01-2019, 17:01 CET Pick: Partizan
Odds: 2.1 at bet365


* Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject of change

Category: European basketball
Date: 09-01-2019
Option: 1X2 / Moneyline
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)




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