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Partizan - FC Astana    (won)

Europa League » R6


So, it is final round of group stage. Everything is known in this group, Man Utd and Az Alkmaar are going to the knockout stage while Partizan Belgrade and Astana both finishes the competition here.
So, pretty much meaningless game except maybe small financial aspect although UEFA is not paying victory in EL as much they pays for win in the Champions League, not even close.
In any case, in situation like this when game has no significant importance, I usually like to bet over the totals and seems to me this game is ideal for that.
Partizan is better of these two sides, that is clear. They even missed big chance to qualify further. Against AZ both games finished with 2:2 draw although both times Serbian team had advantage as well player more on the field. In previous round in Netherlands that advantage was even 0:2 and red card for Az and 83rd minute of the game. Partizan head coach in those final moments even introduced to the game additional defender instead of offensively oriented player, but it still wasn't enough to save the lead. The game somehow ended with 2:2 draw.
All this above shows and confirms that Partizan has defensive issue but attacking part of the team is more than solid. That being said, probably 'Both To Score? YES' is the option worth to think about but I like more this time Over 2.5 cause we can't say for sure how Astana will look here and how motivated they are. The league in Kazakstan is over, they are again the champions but I do not know if they remained in the competitive rhythm. They did managed well in previous round when won at home vs Man Utd with 2:1 but that was junior United team with one senior player.

The first mutual game with Astana away in Kazakhstan ended with Partizan 1:2 victory. The result that doesn't show the real picture. Astana was hopeless to say at least. They have scored late fortunate goal from reflection while Partizan beside two scored goals has missed almost dozen of great goal chances. That wasn't the only time in this group to Astana was completely outplayed on the pitch. AZ did the same against them in both mutual games, only unlike Partizan, the Dutch team mainly used all goal chances and won those games, 6:0 at home and 0:5 on the road. So, that's one of the reasons while I still like more Over 2.5 than BTS. But I do expect Partizan to concede here. As stated earlier, defense is not the best part of the team. It's true that  they have in defense amazing 19 y.o. Pavlovic who just signed big contract with Monaco (Monaco paid huge amount to Partizan) and will play there from next season, but rest of the defense is not so good plus now the other defensive player who was decent (Miletic) got injured.
After last round game against Az Alkmaar, Partizan played two rounds in the Serbian league. Nothing new I woulds say, they again were terrible in defense, conceded in both games, the first one even lost 2:3 at home after being 2:0 up. Then on the road won 1:2 against second worst team in the league.
Published: 09-12-2019, 14:15 CET Pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.97 at Unibet


Category: European football
Date: 12-12-2019
Option: Under / Over
Stake: 10 (tipster's average: 10)



Fairplaybet 12-12-2019, 21:26
Cashed in 25th minute. This Astana is even worst than I thought, already 3:0.

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